This is going to be short and sweet. With only two days left until one of the biggest movie award nights, I wanted to get my final Oscar picks into writing and see who agrees and who challenges.
The BIG FIVE:
Best Picture
The biggest award of the night is most definitely Best Picture. There are a lot of opinions out there on which film will win this category. Though my “favorite” film of the year was Inception, it will not win Best Picture. This category is a big fight between only two films: The Social Network and The King’s Speech. Though The King’s Speech had great acting, a fantastic story, creative cinematography, and superb direction, it may not have the same type of cultural relevance (usually a large factor of Academy Award winning films) that The Social Network did.
Will Win: The Social Network
Dark Horse: The King’s Speech
Best Director
This is another battle between the same two films: The Social Network and The King’s Speech. However, this is not going to be as close as the previous category. Here we have Tom Hooper, a relatively new feature director, against the veteran David Fincher, known for Fight Club and The Curious Case of Benjamin Button and a director who is well overdue for an Oscar.
Will Win: David Fincher
Dark Horse: Tom Hooper
Best Actor
Sure, Jesse Eisenberg was great. So was James Franco. But really, to say that either one of them (or Jeff Bridges and Javier Bardem) has a chance, well, I’d just be kidding myself. Colin Firth was unstoppable in his role in The King’s Speech.
Will Win: Colin Firth
Dark Horse: Nope
Best Actress
A possible winner in this category is Annette Bening, but the reason she won’t win is because her role in The Kids Are Alright is not that far of a stretch. She plays herself. On the other hand, Natalie Portman does an amazing job in a very demanding role (both emotionally and physically).
Will Win: Natalie Portman
Dark Horse: Annette Bening
Best Original Screenplay
This is a difficult category. The King’s Speech is the favorite for this category amongst most critics but I truly feel that Inception is the better, more thoughtful script. The story in Inception is more complex and has a great character relationship, not to mention it took home the prize at the WGA awards.
Will Win: Inception
Dark Horse: The King’s Speech
Best Adapted Screenplay
The Social Network is a profoundly fast-paced, smooth and thought-provoking screenplay that is sure to win. Even if The Social Network doesn’t win Best Picture, this is a for sure and you can bet that Aaron Sorkin will make one heck of a speech.
Will Win: The Social Network
Dark Horse: None
Supporting Role
The Oscars for Best Actor and Best Actress in a supporting role are in the bag. They both have challengers but in all reality, Christian Bale will win the oscar for best supporting actor for his role as Dicky Ecklund in The Fighter and the oscar for best supporting actress will go to Melissa Leo for the same film. The dark horses in these categories are Geoffrey Rush for The King’s Speech and Hailee Steinfeld for True Grit respectively.
Other Categories and Technicals
Best Animated Feature
Will Win: Toy Story 3
Dark Horse: None
Best Documentary Feature
Will Win: Exit Through The Gift Shop
Dark Horse: Inside Job
Best Live Action Short
Will Win: God of Love
Dark Horse: Na Wewe
Best Documentary Short
Will Win: The Warriors of Quiugang
Dark Horse: Strangers No More
Best Animated Short
Will Win: Day & Night
Dark Horse: The Gruffalo
Best Foreign Language Film
Will Win: In A Better World
Dark Horse: Biutiful
Best Art Direction
Will Win: Inception
Dark Horse: The King’s Speech
Best Costume Design
Will Win: The King’s Speech
Dark Horse: Alice In Wonderland
Best Makeup
Will Win: The Wolfman
Dark Horse: The Way Back
Best Film Editing
Will Win: The Social Network
Dark Horse: The King’s Speech
Best Original Score
Will Win: Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross for The Social Network
Dark Horse: Alexandre Desplat for The King’s Speech
Best Original Song
Will Win: “If I Rise” from 127 Hours
Dark Horse: “We Belong Together” from Toy Story 3
Best Sound Editing
Will Win: Inception
Dark Horse: True Grit
Best Sound Mixing
Will Win: Inception
Dark Horse: The Social Network
Best Visual Effects
Will Win: Inception
Dark Horse: Alice In Wonderland
Best Cinematography
This will be an interesting category on Sunday. Roger Deakins will probably win for his cinematography in True Grit, however, Wally Pfister could pull off the win here. Pfister’s photography is over all more intriguing and interesting, but he’s new. This is his fourth Oscar nomination since 2006. On the other hand, Roger Deakins has been in the business for much longer and most would argue that he “deserves” the Oscar with his past eleven nominations. Excited to see which way this award goes.
Will Win: True Grit
Dark Horse: Inception























